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Fear & Greed Index
Conducted jointly by John Burns Research and Consulting and CRE Daily, the Fear and Greed Index examines current commercial real estate investor sentiment and expectations over the next six months, as well as changes in access to capital and asset values.
| Sectors | Rating |
|---|---|
| Multifamily | 58 |
| Industrial | 60 |
| Retail | 57 |
| Office | 51 |
| Sectors | Rating |
|---|---|
| Multifamily | 59 |
| Industrial | 59 |
| Retail | 58 |
| Office | 48 |
| Sectors | Rating |
|---|---|
| Multifamily | 58 |
| Industrial | 60 |
| Retail | 56 |
| Office | 47 |
| Sectors | Rating |
|---|---|
| Multifamily | 62 |
| Industrial | 63 |
| Retail | 56 |
| Office | 36 |
| Sectors | Rating |
|---|---|
| Multifamily | 58 |
| Industrial | 57 |
| Retail | 55 |
| Office | 43 |
| Sectors | Rating |
|---|---|
| Multifamily | 54 |
| Industrial | 56 |
| Retail | 54 |
| Office | 42 |
| Sectors | Rating |
|---|---|
| Multifamily | 53 |
| Industrial | 56 |
| Retail | 53 |
| Office | 40 |
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Industrial real estate is the strongest commercial sector per our sector-level Fear and Greed Index. Office continues to lag.
Current CRE Investment Strategy Index
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
This index gauges investor behavior in the most recent quarter by measuring the share of commercial real estate professionals who increased, decreased, or maintained their investment exposure across major asset classes. It provides a snapshot of real-time market positioning and indicates whether investors are leaning into growth opportunities or pulling back due to perceived risks.
Expected Investment Strategy Index
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
This forward-looking index captures investor expectations over the next six months, based on whether they plan to increase, decrease, or hold their exposure to various CRE sectors. It reflects evolving sentiment around market conditions, interest rates, and asset performance, offering early signals of potential capital shifts across the industry.
Access to Capital Index
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
This index measures changes in investors’ ability to raise debt or equity capital compared to the prior quarter. By tracking whether capital has become easier, harder, or stayed the same to access, the index highlights perceived liquidity in the market and helps gauge overall confidence in capital availability across CRE sectors.
Sector Breakdowns
Track sentiment, value trends, and capital access across Multifamily, Industrial, Retail, and Office. See where investors are buying, selling, or holding, with quarterly insights on confidence and pricing shifts.
Change in Values by Asset Class (% YOY)
Commercial Real Estate – Multifamily
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Expected Change in Values by Asset Class (Next 6 Months)
Commercial Real Estate – Multifamily
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Investment Strategy Trend
Commercial Real Estate – Multifamily
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Capital Access Sentiment
Commercial Real Estate – Multifamily
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Change in Values by Asset Class (% YOY)
Commercial Real Estate – Industrial
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Expected Change in Values by Asset Class (Next 6 Months)
Commercial Real Estate – Industrial
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Investment Strategy Trend
Commercial Real Estate – Industrial
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Capital Access Sentiment
Commercial Real Estate – Industrial
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Change in Values by Asset Class (% YOY)
Commercial Real Estate – Retail
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Expected Change in Values by Asset Class (Next 6 Months)
Commercial Real Estate – Retail
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Investment Strategy Trend
Commercial Real Estate – Retail
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Capital Access Sentiment
Commercial Real Estate – Retail
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Change in Values by Asset Class (% YOY)
Commercial Real Estate – Office
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Expected Change in Values by Asset Class (Next 6 Months)
Commercial Real Estate – Office
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Investment Strategy Trend
Commercial Real Estate – Office
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Capital Access Sentiment
Commercial Real Estate – Office
John Burns Research and Consulting, LLC; CRE Daily (Data: Feb-25, Pub: Mar-25)
Commentary from CRE investors
Unfiltered insights from the front lines, featuring direct quotes and key themes from commercial real estate professionals on interest rates, policy shifts, capital markets, and market outlook.
I remain concerned with how tariffs will impact new construction, and how current immigration policies will affect the labor force and occupancy in Class C properties.
Consumers will continue to be hammered by rising prices, job outlook concerns, health care costs, and other inflationary pressures.
Property insurance, inflation, crime, property taxes, and utilities are the top 5 issues today. Solve these—driving them flat or lower—and the market will take off with more investment.
It has been very difficult with all the changes due to new absorption, shifting tenant profiles, and newly implemented laws.
The 10-year Treasury needs to hit 3% to trigger an influx of capital across all sectors.
Short-term rate changes are not going to affect 10-year Treasury yields. Until the 10-year T-bill drops by 50 bps, conditions will remain the same for the balance of the year.
It is very difficult to raise equity with institutional partners. Once that changes, values should increase.
Interest rates will not be lowered soon enough to positively impact cap rates and property values.
This feels like a ‘wait and see’ moment for multifamily. Basis, current yield, and operations are critically important in 2025 and 2026. This cycle is still in its early innings compared to the GFC (Global Financial Crisis). 2021 loan maturities have not yet materialized in a meaningful way.
The market will remain uncertain until the policy backdrop becomes less volatile.
Multifamily in some areas (South/Midwest) is, in many cases, available at bargain pricing that will prove to be fruitful investments in the 2026–2027 time frame.
Q3 may prove to be the cyclical low point for operating results, but it also sets the stage for outsized performance ahead.
Fear & Greed Reports
Download Fear & Greed reports for a full quarterly breakdown of sector indices, asset values, capital trends, and investor strategies.

Q3 2025
The index ticked up slightly as capital access improved, though investors still face challenging financing conditions.

Q2 2025
The index ticked up slightly as capital access improved, though investors still face challenging financing conditions.

Q1 2025
Sentiment steadied as investors favored Industrial and Multifamily; Office lagged amid capital concerns.

Q4 2024
Investor confidence improved slightly as Industrial and Retail sectors gained momentum; Office remained under pressure despite signs of stabilization.

Q2 2024
Investor sentiment held steady as optimism grew in Multifamily and Industrial; Office remained weak despite early signs of stabilization.

Q1 2024
Sentiment stayed balanced as investors held steady; optimism ticked up in Industrial and Retail while Office remained cautious amid tight credit.

Q4 2023
Sentiment remained balanced as investors paused on new exposure; Industrial showed resilience while Office faced ongoing challenges and tightening capital access.
Methodology
What the index measures
The Fear and Greed Index gauges sentiment in the U.S. commercial real estate market by assessing whether investors are expanding or contracting their activity. It reflects trends in investment behavior, capital access, and overall market outlook across four major sectors: multifamily, industrial, retail, and office.
How it’s calculated
The index is a proprietary diffusion score ranging from 0 to 100. It’s derived from a weighted average of three sub-indices:
- Access to capital – whether it’s easier or harder to raise capital compared to the prior quarter
A score above 55 signals market expansion (greed), while below 45 signals contraction (fear). - Current investment strategy – whether investors are increasing, holding, or decreasing exposure
- Expected investment strategy – anticipated changes in the next 6 months
Who participates
The index reflects input from commercial real estate professionals across the U.S., including owner-operators, general partners (GPs), limited partners (LPs), and brokers. Participants represent a broad range of activity across the multifamily, industrial, retail, and office sectors.
Sample Details
Responses by segment:
Multifamily
38%
Industrial
19%
Retail
19%
Office
16%
Other
9%



